From the 2023 Projection Assumption Guidelines:
"Making projections is critical to creating financial plans that help clients realize their long-term goals," says Julie Seberras, CFP®, MBA, FCSI and Chair of the FP Canada Standard Council™ Standards Panel. "The Projection Assumption Guidelines are a useful tool for planners to ensure their projections are based upon sound assumptions."
The Guidelines are intended to be used when making long-term projections of 10 years or more, and they're meant to look beyond the current day rate environment. For shorter-term financial projections (less than 10 years), financial planners may use actual rates of return on fixed-term investments held to maturity and dividend yields on equities.
The Projection Assumption Guidelines for 2023 are as follows:
Inflation rate |
2.10 % |
Return rates |
|
Short-term |
2.30 % |
Fixed income |
3.20 % |
Canadian equities |
6.20 % |
Foreign developed market equities |
6.50 % |
Emerging market equities |
7.40 % |
YMPE or MPE growth rate |
3.10 % |
Borrowing rate |
4.30 % |
Note that these are all before fees.